Clayface may have a tougher fight at the box office than expected. Elizabeth Holmes documentary titled You Can See Everything threatens to challenge Clayface’s opening-weekend lead. DC’s latest release has gained momentum in advance ticket sales, but its rival has already proved that audiences can turn an unlikely contender into a box office surprise.
Could Clayface lose to You Can See Everything at box office?
Early estimates by Deadline put Clayface’s North American debut at $20 million. More recent projections have lifted expectations to between $25 million and $35 million, although rival studio estimates remain lower, at $22 million to $28 million. Deadline also reported stronger presales over the last two days.
The bigger threat comes from You Can See Everything, A24’s documentary about Elizabeth Holmes, directed by Nathan Fielder and Lance Oppenheim. It opened to $15.6 million from just 855 theaters last weekend, taking its domestic total to $20.8 million. Now with access to 2,600 locations, it could gross another $20 million to $25 million, an unusual second-weekend jump that could put it in contention for the top spot (via Variety).
With a reported $44 million production bill, James Watkins’ Clayface faces a different box-office challenge. The Tom Rhys Harries-led DC film leans into gruesome body horror rather than the lighter, family-oriented formula fans often see in superhero movies. Early projections put its international debut at $20 million to $25 million, potentially lifting its global opening haul into the $45 million to $55 million range.
DC has little room for another box-office stumble after Supergirl fell short of expectations. The film launched with $38 million domestically, missing its projected $40 million to $55 million range. The movie later completed its global run with $126.4 million in box office against a $170 million production budget.
Now, Clayface needs more than encouraging presales to prove it can deliver. Positive reviews could keep audiences coming through the door, but negative buzz might give the documentary a clear shot at claiming the top spot.